2020 year-end currency trends review

2020 year-end currency trends review

2020-12-21 • Updated

EUR/USD: decade’s end

The year 2020 started with the EUR/USD touching the bottom of 1.08 as it was making the way for the downtrend through the entire 2019. After a fierce shock easily visible as heavy fluctuation in February-March, the pair reversed and started actively marching upwards. Eventually, the EUR appreciated against the USD as high as 1.20 by December, coming closer even to 1.22. By climbing this high, EUR/USD recovered all the losses of 2019 and came to the heights of January-April 2018.

1.png

On the monthly chart, breaking through 1.22 would challenge the decade-long downtrend EUR/USD has been in so far. However, technically, only beating 1.24 would confirm the possibility of this strategic reversal – that’s what may happen in 2021 if bulls keep pressing the EUR against the USD. Fundamentally, there needs to be a persistent weakness of the USD to allow that. Are there factors for the USD’s weakness? There are. The US Fed keeping the interest rates low and possibly maintaining quantitative easing line to keep the US economy marching, the general setting of the American global economic presence gradually giving room to the alternative global powers, and other tectonic movements. Will they be enough to push EUR/USD to 1.24? Very possibly.

2.png

EUR/GBP: symmetrical upside

This currency pair has spent most of the year 2020 oscillating between 0.89 and 0.91. There were a couple of spikes up to 0.93 but that was more of an exception – and every such spike was followed by a correction down to the same 0.89.

3.png

On a monthly chart, coming to the heights of 0.90 roughly completes the five-year-long recovery of EUR/GBP symmetrical to the descent to 0.70 it did during the years 2010-2015. If that assessment is correct, going to 0.93 and above is very likely for this pair in the coming year. Fundamentally, there may be ground for that: the British pound has hardly more factors on its side against those on the euros. The first quarter of 2021 will bring more clarity on that.

4 (2).png

USD/JPY: testing the support

After a shockwave in January-February 2020, USD/JPY went into a downward trajectory that stretches from 110.00 to 103.00. Visibly, there is little technical evidence to suggest that this trend would see much change in the future.

5.png

From a strategic point of view, coming down from 110.00 to 100.00 is an organic continuation of the large downslope that started above 120.00 in 2015. In the meantime, the area around 100.00 has been providing support to the currency pair movement since before 2015 and after that year. Currently, USD/JPY is exactly at this support so beware: technically, a bounce upwards is very possible in the coming year.

6.png

                                                                                                  LOG IN

Similar

How will the reporting season affect US indices?
How will the reporting season affect US indices?

Earnings season is a crucial time for investors and analysts, as it provides insights into how well companies have performed over the past quarter and gives indications of their future earnings. In 2023, expectations for US Q1 earnings were low due to economic challenges and rising interest rates. Surprisingly, many companies beat these low expectations, with 75% of S&P 500 companies surpassing forecasts.

Stocks to trade in July
Stocks to trade in July

When I started trading stocks a few years ago, I often needed to pay more attention to my technical analysis skills and trust that the market would play fair according to my analysis. I have since discovered that the safer approach to trading stocks is to, more often than not, seek out investing opportunities - that is, catching stock commodities with a potential to rise.

Latest news

USD: Powell Speaks on Cutting Interest Rates
USD: Powell Speaks on Cutting Interest Rates

Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...

WTT: Currency Pairs To Trade In April
WTT: Currency Pairs To Trade In April

Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.

Deposit with your local payment systems

Data collection notice

FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.

Callback

A manager will call you shortly.

Change number

Your request is accepted.

A manager will call you shortly.

Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in

If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat

Internal error. Please try again later

Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!

You are using an older version of your browser.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience.

Safari Chrome Firefox Opera