OPEC+ decision is in focus

OPEC+ decision is in focus

2020-12-01 • Updated

What happened?

Investors are waiting for the significant decision of OPEC+ members to prolong oil output cuts or stop them. Yesterday, they failed to come to a common conclusion. That pushed oil prices down below $45.00. However, the market euphoria over having a vaccine soon drove riskier assets upward as well as oil.

What’s next?

OPEC+ will meet the next time on Thursday to discuss the oil supply’s regulations. According to RBC Capital Markets, OPEC+ should agree on further cuts for about 3 months. On the one hand, the virus is still a severe problem, which has strong pressure on oil demand. On the other hand, the recent Chinese Manufacturing PMI report was better than expected and signaled the industry expansion. China is a huge oil importer, that’s why a recovery of the economic activity there will increase the oil demand, which should underpin oil prices in the end. 

Technical tips

WTI oil is trading sideways from $44.65 to $45.65. If it manages to break the top of this range, the way up to the high of November 26 at $46.00 will be clear. On the flip side, the move below the support of $45.00 will drive crude oil to yesterday’s low of $44.65. However, it’s likely to pull back from $45.00 and turn to the upside to continue its zig-zag movement.

To trade WTI oil with FBS you need WTI-21F, which expires on December 18.

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