2020-07-21 • Updated
The risk-on market sentiment pushed the stock index upward. What are the forecasts?
Three main reasons have increased the risk appetite today. Firstly, EU members have agreed on the 750-billion-euros recovery fund in the form of the joint debt. It will allow all the EU countries to recover faster from the downturn caused by the coronavirus. Secondly, the Oxford University in collaboration with AstraZeneca held successful human trials on the Covid-19 vaccine. Tests proved that the injection is safe and efficient. Riskier assets surged after the such promising news. Finally, the S&P 500 rose so much because tech mega-cap stocks surged such as Apple, Microsoft, Netflix and Facebook. For example, Amazon soared by 7.9% after analysts from the Goldman Sachs increased their target price on the stock up to $3 800. Indeed, Amazon has a real potential to further growth as its online retail and cloud-computing segments are in a high demand due to the coronavirus restrictions and the stay-at-home regime. Shares of Microsoft climbed up as well, because strategists raised their target prices for the stock ahead of the earnings report. The shift to the remote work increased the demand for its software and cloud services. Let’s look at the chart now.
The S&P 500 has reached levels unseen since February 24, 2020. It’s moving upward towards the next resistance at the high of January 17, 2020 at 3 325. If it breaks it through, it may surge higher to the all-time high at 3 390. This level remains the medium-term bullish target for most analysts. They believe that while the price is trading above the 3 000 level, bulls may be confident in the further index rally. Anyway, support levels are at the low of July 16 at 3 190 and at the low of July 7 at 3 135.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Bearish Scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.34, TP2: 78.94, TP3: 78.55, and 78.00 Bullish Scenario: Buys above 78.00 (wait for a retracement to the zone) with TP: 79.34 TP2: 80.00, and TP3: 81.00
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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