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Apakah itu kalendar ekonomi?
Kalendar ekonomi, juga dikenali sebagai kalendar ekonomi Forex atau Kalendar FX, adalah perkakas yang membolehkan para pedagang membuat analisis asas mengenai pasaran kewangan berdasarkan berita ekonomi. Anda boleh melihat senarai peristiwa-peristiwa makroekonomi yang mampu menggerakkan pasaran dan membuat keputusan perdagangan Forex berdasarkan data.
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Apakah data yang terkandung di dalam kalendar ekonomi?
Kalendar ekonomi mengandungi maklumat mengenai acara-acara ekonomi yang utama, serta berita-berita politik dan kesannya terhadap pasaran Forex. Semua acara atau peristiwa kewangan ini digunakan sebagai indikator ekonomi.
Kalendar peristiwa ekonomi juga menunjukkan waktu dan tarikh bila data indikator diterbitkan, matawang yang dijangka terkesan, dan tahap impak setiap indikator. Sebilangan besar indikator mempunyai nilai angka, yang dinyatakan dalam bentuk peratusan atau nilai matawang. Ia mencerminkan impak suatu indikator, sama ada positif atau negatif.
Kalendar ekonomi forex kami mempunyai tiga lajur untuk menunjukkan nilai indikator ekonomi: Sebelum, Unjuran, dan Sebenar:
- Sebelum menunjukkan nilai indikator pada tempoh sebelum ini (biasanya, satu bulan atau satu tahun);
- Unjuran menunjukkan anggaran nilai indikator berdasarkan tinjauan ke atas 20-240 ahli ekonomi;
- Sebenar adalah nilai yang diterbitkan oleh sumber rasmi seperti agensi statistik kebangsaan atau pusat analisis.
Kami juga menyediakan maklumat tambahan mengenai indikator dan graf yang menunjukkan perubahan nilai mengikut bulan atau tahun – klik indikator yang anda minati untuk ketahui lebih lanjut.
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Bagaimana cara membaca kalendar ekonomi?
Kadang-kadang bilangan peristiwa ekonomi pada satu-satu masa terlalu banyak. Oleh itu, pertama sekali, pastikan anda menggunakan saringan untuk melihat petunjuk yang paling relevan untuk perdagangan Forex anda. Sebagai contoh, anda boleh pilih hanya matawang yang anda rancang untuk dagangkan, atau saring berdasarkan impak indikator.
Di bahagian atas kalendar perdagangan Forex kami, pilih zon masa yang sesuai.
Gunakan nilai angka indikator untuk mentafsir perubahan pasaran. Inilah sebabnya mengapa angka unjuran dan pengumuman sebenar sangat penting. Bandingkan nombor-nombor berkenaan: jika nilai Sebenar lebih besar daripada unjuran, ini bagus untuk matawang dan kemungkinan harganya akan naik; jika nilai Sebenar lebih rendah daripada Unjuran, ia berkemungkinan akan turun.
Anda boleh terapkan logik yang sama ke atas nilai Sebelum dan Unjuran sebelum data sebenar dikeluarkan, tetapi hati-hati – unjuran biasanya berdasarkan data awalan (preliminary) dan angka sebenar mungkin berbeza secara drastik.
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Apa indikator ekonomi yang ada?
Indikator ekonomi adalah acara atau peristiwa ekonomi penting yang digunakan untuk mentaksir peluang pelaburan dalam perdagangan Forex. Ia lazimnya acara atau peristiwa ekonomi makro yang mempengaruhi matawang dan harga saham.
Indikator ada yang bersifat duluan ("leading", meramalkan perubahan akan datang), berkebetulan ("concident", menunjukkan keadaan ekonomi semasa suatu kawasan tertentu) dan lat ("lagging", mengesahkan pola dan trend).
Indikator ekonomi paling utama:
- The US Treasury Yield Curve – menunjukkan nisbah antara bil Perbendaharaan jangka pendek dan bon Perbendaharaan jangka panjang. Indikator ini telah meramalkan lapan kemelesetan ekonomi yang besar di tahun-tahun kebelakangan dengan cemerlang sekali.
- KDNK (Keluaran Dalam Negara Kasar) – salah satu metrik terpenting bagi kemantapan ekonomi. Ini adalah petunjuk yang lat, menunjukkan apa yang telah berlaku, tetapi ia boleh menjadi indikator yang cemerlang untuk kemelesetan ekonomi yang akan datang.
- Kadar Pengangguran – peratusan orang yang mencari pekerjaan, dan ia juga menunjukkan betapa mantapnya pasaran buruh dan ekonomi.
- Kadar Faedah – satu lagi indikator lat yang menunjukkan kadar pertumbuhan ekonomi. Ini boleh mempengaruhi KDNK dan inflasi, jadi berhati-hatilah dengan indikator ini.
Ini hanya sebahagian dari beberapa indikator yang penting. Pastikan untuk mengikuti pelan perdagangan harian dari penganalisis FBS kami untuk mengetahui lebih lanjut mengenai acara dan peristiwa perdagangan semasa dan bagaimana ia akan mempengaruhi perdagangan Forex anda.
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Bagaimana cara berdagang sempena berita?
Acara kewangan biasanya sudah dijadualkan awal-awal lagi. Biasanya ramalan dibuat sebelum pengumuman (lajur Unjuran di kalendar berita Forex kami) tentang bagaimana ia akan mempengaruhi pasaran. Sebilangan pedagang memilih untuk membuka posisi berdasarkan pada jangkaan laporan indikator ekonomi: jika mereka menjangkakan indikator tertentu akan menaikkan kadar tukaran matawang, mereka akan membeli, dan begitulah sebaliknya. Pedagang lain tidak suka dengan pergerakan harga yang terlalu pantas semasa indikator diumumkan, jadi mereka mejauhkan diri dari kalendar FX dan perdagangan sempena berita.
Terdapat banyak strategi untuk berdagang sempena berita: anda harus menggunakan strategi yang anda rasa paling sesuai untuk gaya perdagangan anda. FBS, selain daripada menyediakan semua perkhidmatan yang diperlukan untuk perdagangan, juga menyediakan semua maklumat penting untuk apa jua keperluan pedagang. Lihat bahagian seksyen kami untuk memantau kemungkinan pergerakan di pasaran.
Walaupun anda bukan orang yang berdagang sempena berita, anda masih wajar memeriksa kalendar ekonomi perdagangan atau membaca tentang peristiwa ekonomi semasa secara berkala kerana ia berkemungkinan tinggi akan mempengaruhi kemeruapan pasaran.
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Adakah kalendar ekonomi dikemas kini secara masa nyata?
Kalendar acara ekonomi utama kami dikemas kini secara automatik sejurus laporan disiarkan. FBS sentiasa ada untuk memberikan kemas kini kalendar ekonomi tepat pada masanya, namun kami tidak boleh dipertanggungjawabkan di atas kelewatan justeru dari sifat aliran peristiwa berita perdagangan yang tidak menentu.
Kalendar Ekonomi
Senarai keluaran ekonomi yang penting
Masa
Kesan
Mata wang
Acara
Sebelumnya
Ramalan
Sebenar
May 10, 2024
03:35
JPY
3-Month Bill Auction
{previous}
0.0259%
{forecast}
{actual}
03:35
JPY
30-Year JGB Auction
{previous}
1.808%
{forecast}
{actual}
05:00
JPY
Eco Watchers Survey Current
{previous}
49.8
{forecast}
50.4
{actual}
The Economy Watchers Current Index measures the current mood of businesses that directly service consumers, such as barbers, taxi drivers, and waiters. The survey covers eleven regions across the country including Hokkaido, Tohoku, Northern Kanto, Southern Kanto, Tokai, Hokuriku, Kinki, Chugoku, Shikoku, Kyushu, and Okinawa. There were 2,050 people selected among those engaged in jobs in industries. This enabled them to observe any developments that accurately reflect economic activities such as household activity, corporate activity, and employment. A reading above 50.0 indicates optimism; below indicates pessimism.
05:00
JPY
Eco Watchers Survey Outlook
{previous}
51.2
{forecast}
{actual}
The Economy Watchers Survey Outlook measures the expected mood of businesses that directly service consumers, such as barbers, taxi drivers, and waiters. The survey covers eleven regions across the country including Hokkaido, Tohoku, Northern Kanto, Southern Kanto, Tokai, Hokuriku, Kinki, Chugoku, Shikoku, Kyushu, and Okinawa. There were 2,050 people selected among those engaged in jobs in industries. This enabled them to observe any developments that accurately reflect economic activities such as household activity, corporate activity, and employment. A reading above 50.0 indicates optimism; below indicates pessimism.
06:00
GBP
Balance of Trade
{previous}
£-2.291B
{forecast}
{actual}
The UK's trade balance has been in deficit since 1998, due to deficits in trade in goods which are partly offset by surpluses in trade in services. The level of total UK trade in goods as a proportion of total trade in goods and services has been gradually declining since 1986 after peaking at 75 percent in 1985. This is consistent with the rising share of UK trade in services (about 38 percent as of 2021). The UK has trade deficits with China, Norway, Germany, Spain, Poland, Russia, Italy and India; and surpluses with the United States, Ireland, the Netherlands, Switzerland, Singapore and the United Arab Emirates.
06:00
GBP
Construction Output YoY
{previous}
-2%
{forecast}
-1.2%
{actual}
In the United Kingdom, construction output measures the yearly change in the amount charged by construction companies to customers for value of work. The value is based on the sample of 8,000 businesses, employing over 100 people or with an annual turnover of more than £60 million. Construction estimates are a component of GDP from the production approach, contributing approximately 6.4% of GDP.
06:00
GBP
Business Investment YoY Prel
{previous}
2.8%
{forecast}
{actual}
In the UK, business investment is net investment by private and public corporations. These include investments in transport, information and communication technology (ICT) equipment, other machinery and equipment, cultivated assets, intellectual property products (IPP, which includes investment in software, research and development, artistic originals and mineral exploration), and buildings and other structures. It does not include investment by central or local government, investment in dwellings, or the costs associated with the transfer of non-produced assets (such as land).
06:00
GBP
Industrial Production YoY
{previous}
1.4%
{forecast}
{actual}
In the United Kingdom, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 70 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food, drink and tobacco (11 percent of total production); transport equipment (9 percent); basic metals (8 percent); other manufacturing and repair (6 percent); pharmaceutical products and preparations (6 percent); and rubber and plastic products and non-metallic mineral products (6 percent). Mining and quarrying account for 12 percent of production, as oil and gas extraction accounts for 10 percent. Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning account for 11 percent of total output and water supply, sewerage and waste management account for 8 percent.
06:00
GBP
Goods Trade Balance Non-EU
{previous}
£-2.9B
{forecast}
{actual}
06:00
GBP
Manufacturing Production MoM
{previous}
1.2%
{forecast}
-0.5%
{actual}
Manufacturing production measures the output of businesses operating in the manufacturing sector. It is the most important sector in the UK and accounts for 70 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food, drink and tobacco (11 percent of total production); transport equipment (9 percent); basic metals (8 percent); other manufacturing and repair (6 percent); pharmaceutical products and preparations (6 percent); and rubber and plastic products and non-metallic mineral products (6 percent).
06:00
GBP
Construction Orders YoY
{previous}
-30.2%
{forecast}
{actual}
In the UK, new orders in construction measures the value of new orders of main contractors by type of work and region within Great Britain. Since April 2013, data have been supplied directly from Barbour ABI with a sample size of all local authorities in England, Scotland and Wales, plus 10,000 contractors per year.
06:00
GBP
GDP YoY
{previous}
-0.2%
{forecast}
{actual}
GDP measures the value of goods and services produced in the UK. The reading refers to a year-on-year growth rate.
06:00
GBP
GDP 3-Month Avg
{previous}
0.2%
{forecast}
0.4%
{actual}
GDP measures the value of goods and services produced in the UK. The reading refers to a three-month growth rate, which is a better indicator of the underlying growth in GDP as the monthly figure is likely to be more volatile. In this sense, the monthly release can be thought of as a monthly update on three months’ worth of data on the economy, rather than a figure representing the economy in just one month. Rolling three-month data is calculated by comparing growth in a three-month period with growth in the previous three-month period, for example growth in March to May compared with the previous December to February.
06:00
GBP
Manufacturing Production YoY
{previous}
2.7%
{forecast}
{actual}
Manufacturing production measures the output of businesses operating in the manufacturing sector. It is the most important sector in the UK and accounts for 70 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food, drink and tobacco (11 percent of total production); transport equipment (9 percent); basic metals (8 percent); other manufacturing and repair (6 percent); pharmaceutical products and preparations (6 percent); and rubber and plastic products and non-metallic mineral products (6 percent).
06:00
GBP
GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel
{previous}
-0.2%
{forecast}
0%
{actual}
GDP The United Kingdom is the sixth largest economy in the world and the second largest in Europe after Germany. The Services sector is the most important and accounts for 79 percent to total GDP. The biggest segments within Services are: government, education and health (19 percent of total GDP); real estate (12 percent); professional, scientific and technical activities and administrative and support services (12 percent); wholesale and retail trade (11 percent); and financial and insurance (8 percent). Industry accounts for 21 percent of the GDP and the largest segments within this sector are: manufacturing (10 percent of total GDP) and construction (6 percent). The Agriculture sector accounts for only 1 percent of GDP.
06:00
GBP
Industrial Production MoM
{previous}
1.1%
{forecast}
-0.5%
{actual}
In the United Kingdom, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 70 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food, drink and tobacco (11 percent of total production); transport equipment (9 percent); basic metals (8 percent); other manufacturing and repair (6 percent); pharmaceutical products and preparations (6 percent); and rubber and plastic products and non-metallic mineral products (6 percent). Mining and quarrying account for 12 percent of production, as oil and gas extraction accounts for 10 percent. Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning account for 11 percent of total output and water supply, sewerage and waste management account for 8 percent.
06:00
GBP
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel
{previous}
-0.3%
{forecast}
0.4%
{actual}
The services sector is the most important and account for 79 percent of United Kingdom's GDP. The biggest segments within services are: government, education and health (19 percent of total GDP); real estate (12 percent); professional, scientific and technical activities and administrative and support services (12 percent); wholesale and retail trade (11 percent); and financial and insurance (8 percent). Industry accounts for 21 percent of the GDP and the largest segments within this sector are: manufacturing (10 percent of total GDP) and construction (6 percent). The Agriculture sector accounts for only 1 percent of GDP. Composition of the GDP on the expenditure side: household consumption (65 percent), government expenditure (20 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (17 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 28 percent of GDP while imports account for 30 percent, subtracting 2 percent from GDP.
06:00
GBP
Goods Trade Balance
{previous}
£-14.21B
{forecast}
£-14.5B
{actual}
In the UK, goods trade balance is equal to goods exports less goods imports.
06:00
GBP
GDP MoM
{previous}
0.1%
{forecast}
0.1%
{actual}
GDP measures the value of goods and services produced in the UK. The reading refers to a month-over-month growth rate.
06:00
GBP
Business Investment QoQ Prel
{previous}
1.4%
{forecast}
1.9%
{actual}
In the UK, business investment is net investment by private and public corporations. These include investments in transport, information and communication technology (ICT) equipment, other machinery and equipment, cultivated assets, intellectual property products (IPP, which includes investment in software, research and development, artistic originals and mineral exploration), and buildings and other structures. It does not include investment by central or local government, investment in dwellings, or the costs associated with the transfer of non-produced assets (such as land).
